2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

75% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.8 goals in this match.

Who wins?

43%Avispa Fukuoka 27%Draw 30%Gamba Osaka

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.6Avispa Fukuoka expected goals 1.2Gamba Osaka

Over 1.5 goals 78%

Over 2.5 goals 53%

Over 3.5 goals 31%

Under 2.5 goals 47%

Under 3.5 goals 69%

Under 4.5 goals 85%

Both teams score 57%

Home team scores 80%

Away team scores 69%

Home team over 1.5 goals 48%

Away team over 1.5 goals 33%

Avispa Fukuoka or draw 70%

Gamba Osaka or draw 57%

Either team wins 73%

Avispa Fukuoka, draw no bet 59%

Gamba Osaka, draw no bet 41%

Avispa Fukuoka +1.5 89%

Gamba Osaka +1.5 75%

Avispa Fukuoka or draw, 2+ goals 57%

Gamba Osaka or draw, 2+ goals 40%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.