2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

84% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.5 goals in this match.

Who wins?

49%FC Tokyo 24%Draw 27%Kashiwa Reysol

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

2.1FC Tokyo expected goals 1.4Kashiwa Reysol

Over 1.5 goals 87%

Over 2.5 goals 68%

Over 3.5 goals 46%

Under 2.5 goals 32%

Under 3.5 goals 54%

Under 4.5 goals 73%

Both teams score 67%

Home team scores 87%

Away team scores 76%

Home team over 1.5 goals 61%

Away team over 1.5 goals 42%

FC Tokyo or draw 73%

Kashiwa Reysol or draw 51%

Either team wins 76%

FC Tokyo, draw no bet 65%

Kashiwa Reysol, draw no bet 35%

FC Tokyo +1.5 88%

Kashiwa Reysol +1.5 69%

FC Tokyo or draw, 2+ goals 65%

Kashiwa Reysol or draw, 2+ goals 41%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.