York win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Home win, draw no bet

80% sure

York are the likelier winners at home, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

61%York 23%Draw 16%Accrington ST

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.9York expected goals 0.8Accrington ST

Over 1.5 goals 77%

Over 2.5 goals 51%

Over 3.5 goals 29%

Under 2.5 goals 49%

Under 3.5 goals 71%

Under 4.5 goals 86%

Both teams score 48%

Home team scores 86%

Away team scores 54%

Home team over 1.5 goals 58%

Away team over 1.5 goals 19%

York or draw 84%

Accrington ST or draw 39%

Either team wins 77%

York, draw no bet 79%

Accrington ST, draw no bet 21%

York +1.5 93%

Accrington ST +1.5 60%

York or draw, 2+ goals 68%

Accrington ST or draw, 2+ goals 25%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.