Oxford United win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Home win, draw no bet

78% sure

Oxford United are the likelier winners at home, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

56%Oxford United 27%Draw 17%Wigan

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.5Oxford United expected goals 0.6Wigan

Over 1.5 goals 64%

Over 2.5 goals 36%

Over 3.5 goals 17%

Under 2.5 goals 64%

Under 3.5 goals 83%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 36%

Home team scores 79%

Away team scores 44%

Home team over 1.5 goals 46%

Away team over 1.5 goals 12%

Oxford United or draw 83%

Wigan or draw 44%

Either team wins 73%

Oxford United, draw no bet 77%

Wigan, draw no bet 23%

Oxford United +1.5 93%

Wigan +1.5 67%

Oxford United or draw, 2+ goals 57%

Wigan or draw, 2+ goals 21%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.