2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

77% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.9 goals in this match.

Who wins?

36%Stevenage 27%Draw 36%Plymouth

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.5Stevenage expected goals 1.5Plymouth

Over 1.5 goals 80%

Over 2.5 goals 56%

Over 3.5 goals 34%

Under 2.5 goals 44%

Under 3.5 goals 66%

Under 4.5 goals 83%

Both teams score 60%

Home team scores 77%

Away team scores 77%

Home team over 1.5 goals 43%

Away team over 1.5 goals 43%

Stevenage or draw 64%

Plymouth or draw 64%

Either team wins 73%

Stevenage, draw no bet 50%

Plymouth, draw no bet 50%

Stevenage +1.5 82%

Plymouth +1.5 82%

Stevenage or draw, 2+ goals 50%

Plymouth or draw, 2+ goals 50%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.