3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

78% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.2 goals.

Who wins?

31%Ballinamallard United 30%Draw 40%Queen's University

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.9Ballinamallard United expected goals 1.2Queen's University

Over 1.5 goals 65%

Over 2.5 goals 37%

Over 3.5 goals 17%

Under 2.5 goals 63%

Under 3.5 goals 83%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 44%

Home team scores 61%

Away team scores 71%

Home team over 1.5 goals 24%

Away team over 1.5 goals 35%

Ballinamallard United or draw 60%

Queen's University or draw 69%

Either team wins 70%

Ballinamallard United, draw no bet 44%

Queen's University, draw no bet 56%

Ballinamallard United +1.5 81%

Queen's University +1.5 90%

Ballinamallard United or draw, 2+ goals 36%

Queen's University or draw, 2+ goals 47%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.