3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

78% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.1 goals.

Who wins?

39%Al-Nassr 32%Draw 28%NEOM SC

1.2Al-Nassr expected goals 1.0NEOM SC

Over 1.5 goals 64%

Over 2.5 goals 36%

Over 3.5 goals 17%

Under 2.5 goals 64%

Under 3.5 goals 83%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 44%

Home team scores 69%

Away team scores 62%

Home team over 1.5 goals 33%

Away team over 1.5 goals 25%

Al-Nassr or draw 72%

NEOM SC or draw 61%

Either team wins 68%

Al-Nassr, draw no bet 58%

NEOM SC, draw no bet 42%

Al-Nassr +1.5 89%

NEOM SC +1.5 83%

Al-Nassr or draw, 2+ goals 46%

NEOM SC or draw, 2+ goals 37%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.