Guadalajara Chivas win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Home win, draw no bet

80% sure

Guadalajara Chivas are the likelier winners at home, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

62%Guadalajara Chivas 21%Draw 17%Necaxa

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

2.2Guadalajara Chivas expected goals 1.1Necaxa

Over 1.5 goals 85%

Over 2.5 goals 64%

Over 3.5 goals 42%

Under 2.5 goals 36%

Under 3.5 goals 58%

Under 4.5 goals 76%

Both teams score 61%

Home team scores 89%

Away team scores 68%

Home team over 1.5 goals 64%

Away team over 1.5 goals 32%

Guadalajara Chivas or draw 83%

Necaxa or draw 38%

Either team wins 79%

Guadalajara Chivas, draw no bet 79%

Necaxa, draw no bet 21%

Guadalajara Chivas +1.5 93%

Necaxa +1.5 62%

Guadalajara Chivas or draw, 2+ goals 70%

Necaxa or draw, 2+ goals 32%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.