3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

77% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.2 goals.

Who wins?

42%Wolves 29%Draw 29%Portsmouth FC

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.1Wolves expected goals 1.1Portsmouth FC

Over 1.5 goals 66%

Over 2.5 goals 38%

Over 3.5 goals 18%

Under 2.5 goals 62%

Under 3.5 goals 82%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 46%

Home team scores 66%

Away team scores 67%

Home team over 1.5 goals 30%

Away team over 1.5 goals 31%

Wolves or draw 71%

Portsmouth FC or draw 58%

Either team wins 71%

Wolves, draw no bet 59%

Portsmouth FC, draw no bet 41%

Wolves +1.5 85%

Portsmouth FC +1.5 86%

Wolves or draw, 2+ goals 42%

Portsmouth FC or draw, 2+ goals 43%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.