3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

80% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.9 goals.

Who wins?

34%Jong Utrecht 35%Draw 32%Roda

1.0Jong Utrecht expected goals 0.9Roda

Over 1.5 goals 58%

Over 2.5 goals 30%

Over 3.5 goals 13%

Under 2.5 goals 70%

Under 3.5 goals 87%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 39%

Home team scores 62%

Away team scores 61%

Home team over 1.5 goals 25%

Away team over 1.5 goals 24%

Jong Utrecht or draw 68%

Roda or draw 66%

Either team wins 65%

Jong Utrecht, draw no bet 52%

Roda, draw no bet 48%

Jong Utrecht +1.5 88%

Roda +1.5 87%

Jong Utrecht or draw, 2+ goals 39%

Roda or draw, 2+ goals 37%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.