3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

82% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.8 goals.

Who wins?

28%BFC Daugavpils 32%Draw 41%Auda

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.8BFC Daugavpils expected goals 1.0Auda

Over 1.5 goals 56%

Over 2.5 goals 27%

Over 3.5 goals 11%

Under 2.5 goals 73%

Under 3.5 goals 89%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 36%

Home team scores 54%

Away team scores 64%

Home team over 1.5 goals 19%

Away team over 1.5 goals 28%

BFC Daugavpils or draw 59%

Auda or draw 72%

Either team wins 68%

BFC Daugavpils, draw no bet 41%

Auda, draw no bet 59%

BFC Daugavpils +1.5 84%

Auda +1.5 92%

BFC Daugavpils or draw, 2+ goals 32%

Auda or draw, 2+ goals 41%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.