3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

82% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.8 goals.

Who wins?

40%Manisa FK 32%Draw 28%Muğlaspor

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.0Manisa FK expected goals 0.8Muğlaspor

Over 1.5 goals 56%

Over 2.5 goals 28%

Over 3.5 goals 11%

Under 2.5 goals 72%

Under 3.5 goals 89%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 37%

Home team scores 65%

Away team scores 55%

Home team over 1.5 goals 28%

Away team over 1.5 goals 19%

Manisa FK or draw 72%

Muğlaspor or draw 60%

Either team wins 68%

Manisa FK, draw no bet 58%

Muğlaspor, draw no bet 42%

Manisa FK +1.5 91%

Muğlaspor +1.5 84%

Manisa FK or draw, 2+ goals 41%

Muğlaspor or draw, 2+ goals 32%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.