3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

81% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.8 goals.

Who wins?

39%Niki Volos 34%Draw 26%Panionios

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.1Niki Volos expected goals 0.8Panionios

Over 1.5 goals 56%

Over 2.5 goals 28%

Over 3.5 goals 12%

Under 2.5 goals 72%

Under 3.5 goals 88%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 37%

Home team scores 65%

Away team scores 54%

Home team over 1.5 goals 28%

Away team over 1.5 goals 19%

Niki Volos or draw 74%

Panionios or draw 61%

Either team wins 66%

Niki Volos, draw no bet 60%

Panionios, draw no bet 40%

Niki Volos +1.5 92%

Panionios +1.5 83%

Niki Volos or draw, 2+ goals 42%

Panionios or draw, 2+ goals 32%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.