3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

80% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.9 goals.

Who wins?

39%Qiziriq 34%Draw 27%Buxdu

1.1Qiziriq expected goals 0.8Buxdu

Over 1.5 goals 58%

Over 2.5 goals 30%

Over 3.5 goals 13%

Under 2.5 goals 70%

Under 3.5 goals 87%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 38%

Home team scores 66%

Away team scores 57%

Home team over 1.5 goals 29%

Away team over 1.5 goals 20%

Qiziriq or draw 73%

Buxdu or draw 61%

Either team wins 66%

Qiziriq, draw no bet 59%

Buxdu, draw no bet 41%

Qiziriq +1.5 91%

Buxdu +1.5 84%

Qiziriq or draw, 2+ goals 42%

Buxdu or draw, 2+ goals 34%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.