3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

82% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.8 goals.

Who wins?

43%SC Braga 32%Draw 26%GIL Vicente

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.9SC Braga expected goals 0.9GIL Vicente

Over 1.5 goals 55%

Over 2.5 goals 27%

Over 3.5 goals 11%

Under 2.5 goals 73%

Under 3.5 goals 89%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 37%

Home team scores 60%

Away team scores 59%

Home team over 1.5 goals 23%

Away team over 1.5 goals 22%

SC Braga or draw 74%

GIL Vicente or draw 57%

Either team wins 68%

SC Braga, draw no bet 62%

GIL Vicente, draw no bet 38%

SC Braga +1.5 89%

GIL Vicente +1.5 88%

SC Braga or draw, 2+ goals 37%

GIL Vicente or draw, 2+ goals 36%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.