3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

75% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.2 goals.

Who wins?

31%Parma 32%Draw 38%Torino

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.0Parma expected goals 1.1Torino

Over 1.5 goals 65%

Over 2.5 goals 37%

Over 3.5 goals 18%

Under 2.5 goals 63%

Under 3.5 goals 82%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 45%

Home team scores 64%

Away team scores 68%

Home team over 1.5 goals 28%

Away team over 1.5 goals 32%

Parma or draw 62%

Torino or draw 69%

Either team wins 68%

Parma, draw no bet 45%

Torino, draw no bet 55%

Parma +1.5 84%

Torino +1.5 88%

Parma or draw, 2+ goals 40%

Torino or draw, 2+ goals 44%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.