2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

79% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.2 goals in this match.

Who wins?

29%Wuhan Three Towns 24%Draw 47%Shanghai Shenhua

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.3Wuhan Three Towns expected goals 1.9Shanghai Shenhua

Over 1.5 goals 83%

Over 2.5 goals 61%

Over 3.5 goals 39%

Under 2.5 goals 39%

Under 3.5 goals 61%

Under 4.5 goals 79%

Both teams score 63%

Home team scores 73%

Away team scores 84%

Home team over 1.5 goals 37%

Away team over 1.5 goals 56%

Wuhan Three Towns or draw 53%

Shanghai Shenhua or draw 71%

Either team wins 76%

Wuhan Three Towns, draw no bet 38%

Shanghai Shenhua, draw no bet 62%

Wuhan Three Towns +1.5 72%

Shanghai Shenhua +1.5 89%

Wuhan Three Towns or draw, 2+ goals 41%

Shanghai Shenhua or draw, 2+ goals 62%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.