3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

82% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.9 goals.

Who wins?

40%Dalian Yingbo B 33%Draw 26%Yichun Grand Tiger

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.0Dalian Yingbo B expected goals 0.8Yichun Grand Tiger

Over 1.5 goals 57%

Over 2.5 goals 29%

Over 3.5 goals 12%

Under 2.5 goals 71%

Under 3.5 goals 88%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 38%

Home team scores 64%

Away team scores 57%

Home team over 1.5 goals 27%

Away team over 1.5 goals 21%

Dalian Yingbo B or draw 74%

Yichun Grand Tiger or draw 60%

Either team wins 67%

Dalian Yingbo B, draw no bet 60%

Yichun Grand Tiger, draw no bet 40%

Dalian Yingbo B +1.5 90%

Yichun Grand Tiger +1.5 85%

Dalian Yingbo B or draw, 2+ goals 41%

Yichun Grand Tiger or draw, 2+ goals 34%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.