FC Masters
All picks
J1 League, Japan
Machida Zelvia
Avispa Fukuoka

Solid pick

Machida Zelvia win or draw

On your slip: Home or draw

Machida Zelvia are hard to beat at home; Avispa Fukuoka are expected to manage only about 1.1 goals.

Who wins?

54%Machida Zelvia 25%Draw 21%Avispa Fukuoka

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

2.0Machida Zelvia expected goals 1.1Avispa Fukuoka
Over 1.5 goals 82%
Over 2.5 goals 60%
Over 3.5 goals 37%
Under 2.5 goals 40%
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Under 4.5 goals 80%
Both teams score 59%
Home team scores 86%
Away team scores 68%
Home team over 1.5 goals 58%
Away team over 1.5 goals 31%

Safer ways to back a side

Machida Zelvia or draw 79%
Avispa Fukuoka or draw 46%
Either team wins 75%
Machida Zelvia, draw no bet 72%
Avispa Fukuoka, draw no bet 28%
Machida Zelvia +1.5 92%
Avispa Fukuoka +1.5 66%
Machida Zelvia or draw, 2+ goals 66%
Avispa Fukuoka or draw, 2+ goals 35%

The numbers behind it

Machida ZelviaAvispa Fukuoka
2.4Scored per game1.2
1.1Conceded per game1.4
1.2Scored, last 51.0
9Games this season9

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.