3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

82% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.9 goals.

Who wins?

33%Inter Lagos 32%Draw 35%Nasarawa United

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.8Inter Lagos expected goals 1.1Nasarawa United

Over 1.5 goals 57%

Over 2.5 goals 28%

Over 3.5 goals 12%

Under 2.5 goals 72%

Under 3.5 goals 88%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 37%

Home team scores 54%

Away team scores 66%

Home team over 1.5 goals 19%

Away team over 1.5 goals 29%

Inter Lagos or draw 65%

Nasarawa United or draw 67%

Either team wins 68%

Inter Lagos, draw no bet 48%

Nasarawa United, draw no bet 52%

Inter Lagos +1.5 83%

Nasarawa United +1.5 92%

Inter Lagos or draw, 2+ goals 32%

Nasarawa United or draw, 2+ goals 43%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.