2 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 2.5 goals

75% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.3 goals.

Who wins?

44%Niger Tornadoes 37%Draw 19%Ikorodu City

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.8Niger Tornadoes expected goals 0.5Ikorodu City

Over 1.5 goals 38%

Over 2.5 goals 14%

Over 3.5 goals 4%

Under 2.5 goals 80%

Under 3.5 goals 90%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 23%

Home team scores 55%

Away team scores 39%

Home team over 1.5 goals 19%

Away team over 1.5 goals 9%

Niger Tornadoes or draw 81%

Ikorodu City or draw 56%

Either team wins 63%

Niger Tornadoes, draw no bet 70%

Ikorodu City, draw no bet 30%

Niger Tornadoes +1.5 93%

Ikorodu City +1.5 87%

Niger Tornadoes or draw, 2+ goals 31%

Ikorodu City or draw, 2+ goals 20%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.