FC Masters
All picks
Serie A, Brazil
Bahia
Flamengo

Solid pick

Flamengo score

On your slip: Away team scores

Flamengo should find the net against a leaky Bahia defence: about 1.4 expected goals.

Who wins?

27%Bahia 28%Draw 44%Flamengo

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.0Bahia expected goals 1.4Flamengo
Over 1.5 goals 70%
Over 2.5 goals 43%
Over 3.5 goals 22%
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Under 3.5 goals 78%
Under 4.5 goals 90%
Both teams score 49%
Home team scores 63%
Away team scores 75%
Home team over 1.5 goals 27%
Away team over 1.5 goals 41%

Safer ways to back a side

Bahia or draw 56%
Flamengo or draw 73%
Either team wins 72%
Bahia, draw no bet 38%
Flamengo, draw no bet 62%
Bahia +1.5 78%
Flamengo +1.5 90%
Bahia or draw, 2+ goals 37%
Flamengo or draw, 2+ goals 52%

The numbers behind it

BahiaFlamengo
1.5Scored per game1.9
1.2Conceded per game0.8
1.4Scored, last 51.2
30Games this season30

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.