Bahia
Flamengo
Solid pick
Flamengo score
On your slip: Away team scores
75%
sure
- 2.4goals expected in this match
- 44%chance Flamengo win
- 3.4goals a game these two score between them
Flamengo should find the net against a leaky Bahia defence: about 1.4 expected goals.
Who wins?
27%Bahia
28%Draw
44%Flamengo
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
1.0Bahia
expected goals
1.4Flamengo
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
Under 3.5 goals
78%
Under 4.5 goals
90%
Both teams score
49%
Home team scores
63%
Away team scores
75%
Home team over 1.5 goals
27%
Away team over 1.5 goals
41%
Safer ways to back a side
Bahia or draw
56%
Flamengo or draw
73%
Either team wins
72%
Bahia, draw no bet
38%
Flamengo, draw no bet
62%
Bahia +1.5
78%
Flamengo +1.5
90%
Bahia or draw, 2+ goals
37%
Flamengo or draw, 2+ goals
52%
The numbers behind it
| Bahia | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Scored per game | 1.9 |
| 1.2 | Conceded per game | 0.8 |
| 1.4 | Scored, last 5 | 1.2 |
| 30 | Games this season | 30 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.