2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

80% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.2 goals in this match.

Who wins?

40%Gremio 26%Draw 34%Cruzeiro

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.8Gremio expected goals 1.5Cruzeiro

Over 1.5 goals 84%

Over 2.5 goals 63%

Over 3.5 goals 40%

Under 2.5 goals 37%

Under 3.5 goals 60%

Under 4.5 goals 78%

Both teams score 65%

Home team scores 83%

Away team scores 77%

Home team over 1.5 goals 53%

Away team over 1.5 goals 43%

Gremio or draw 66%

Cruzeiro or draw 60%

Either team wins 74%

Gremio, draw no bet 54%

Cruzeiro, draw no bet 46%

Gremio +1.5 85%

Cruzeiro +1.5 76%

Gremio or draw, 2+ goals 58%

Cruzeiro or draw, 2+ goals 46%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.