2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

81% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.3 goals in this match.

Who wins?

32%NEC Nijmegen 22%Draw 46%Fortuna Sittard

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.1NEC Nijmegen expected goals 2.2Fortuna Sittard

Over 1.5 goals 85%

Over 2.5 goals 65%

Over 3.5 goals 43%

Under 2.5 goals 35%

Under 3.5 goals 57%

Under 4.5 goals 76%

Both teams score 61%

Home team scores 68%

Away team scores 88%

Home team over 1.5 goals 32%

Away team over 1.5 goals 64%

NEC Nijmegen or draw 54%

Fortuna Sittard or draw 68%

Either team wins 78%

NEC Nijmegen, draw no bet 41%

Fortuna Sittard, draw no bet 59%

NEC Nijmegen +1.5 62%

Fortuna Sittard +1.5 92%

NEC Nijmegen or draw, 2+ goals 32%

Fortuna Sittard or draw, 2+ goals 70%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.