Ajax win or draw

On your slip: Away or draw

81% sure

Ajax are the stronger side and should avoid defeat, even away from home.

Who wins?

21%Groningen 21%Draw 58%Ajax

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.3Groningen expected goals 2.5Ajax

Over 1.5 goals 88%

Over 2.5 goals 73%

Over 3.5 goals 53%

Under 2.5 goals 27%

Under 3.5 goals 47%

Under 4.5 goals 67%

Both teams score 68%

Home team scores 73%

Away team scores 88%

Home team over 1.5 goals 38%

Away team over 1.5 goals 71%

Groningen or draw 42%

Ajax or draw 79%

Either team wins 79%

Groningen, draw no bet 27%

Ajax, draw no bet 73%

Groningen +1.5 59%

Ajax +1.5 92%

Groningen or draw, 2+ goals 33%

Ajax or draw, 2+ goals 74%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.