Lyon win or draw, plus 2+ goals

On your slip: Home or draw & over 1.5 goals

76% sure

Lyon are hard to beat at home and this match should have goals, about 2.9.

Who wins?

70%Lyon 19%Draw 11%Nice

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

2.4Lyon expected goals 0.5Nice

Over 1.5 goals 79%

Over 2.5 goals 55%

Over 3.5 goals 33%

Under 2.5 goals 45%

Under 3.5 goals 67%

Under 4.5 goals 83%

Both teams score 37%

Home team scores 91%

Away team scores 40%

Home team over 1.5 goals 69%

Away team over 1.5 goals 9%

Lyon or draw 89%

Nice or draw 30%

Either team wins 81%

Lyon, draw no bet 86%

Nice, draw no bet 14%

Lyon +1.5 93%

Nice +1.5 44%

Lyon or draw, 2+ goals 76%

Nice or draw, 2+ goals 13%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.