Bundesliga, Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Solid pick
Bayer Leverkusen win (draw = money back)
On your slip: Home win, draw no bet
80%
sure
- 3.2goals expected in this match
- 59%chance Bayer Leverkusen win
- 5.6goals a game these two score between them
Bayer Leverkusen are the likelier winners at home, and a draw gives the stake back.
Who wins?
59%Bayer Leverkusen
22%Draw
19%SC Freiburg
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
2.1Bayer Leverkusen
expected goals
1.1SC Freiburg
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
Under 3.5 goals
60%
Under 4.5 goals
78%
Both teams score
59%
Home team scores
88%
Away team scores
66%
Home team over 1.5 goals
63%
Away team over 1.5 goals
29%
Safer ways to back a side
Bayer Leverkusen or draw
81%
SC Freiburg or draw
41%
Either team wins
78%
Bayer Leverkusen, draw no bet
76%
SC Freiburg, draw no bet
24%
Bayer Leverkusen +1.5
93%
SC Freiburg +1.5
62%
Bayer Leverkusen or draw, 2+ goals
70%
SC Freiburg or draw, 2+ goals
31%
The numbers behind it
| Bayer Leverkusen | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.8 | Scored per game | 2.8 |
| 1.6 | Conceded per game | 0.8 |
| 2.8 | Scored, last 5 | 3.2 |
| 5 | Games this season | 5 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.