AC Milan win or draw, plus 2+ goals

On your slip: Home or draw & over 1.5 goals

75% sure

AC Milan are hard to beat at home and this match should have goals, about 2.9.

Who wins?

68%AC Milan 20%Draw 12%Atalanta

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

2.3AC Milan expected goals 0.6Atalanta

Over 1.5 goals 79%

Over 2.5 goals 55%

Over 3.5 goals 33%

Under 2.5 goals 45%

Under 3.5 goals 67%

Under 4.5 goals 83%

Both teams score 40%

Home team scores 90%

Away team scores 43%

Home team over 1.5 goals 68%

Away team over 1.5 goals 11%

AC Milan or draw 88%

Atalanta or draw 32%

Either team wins 80%

AC Milan, draw no bet 85%

Atalanta, draw no bet 15%

AC Milan +1.5 93%

Atalanta +1.5 46%

AC Milan or draw, 2+ goals 75%

Atalanta or draw, 2+ goals 15%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.