Real Madrid win or draw, plus 2+ goals

On your slip: Home or draw & over 1.5 goals

77% sure

Real Madrid are hard to beat at home and this match should have goals, about 3.6.

Who wins?

71%Real Madrid 17%Draw 12%Sevilla FC

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

2.5Real Madrid expected goals 1.1Sevilla FC

Over 1.5 goals 88%

Over 2.5 goals 70%

Over 3.5 goals 49%

Under 2.5 goals 30%

Under 3.5 goals 51%

Under 4.5 goals 70%

Both teams score 62%

Home team scores 92%

Away team scores 67%

Home team over 1.5 goals 72%

Away team over 1.5 goals 30%

Real Madrid or draw 88%

Sevilla FC or draw 29%

Either team wins 83%

Real Madrid, draw no bet 86%

Sevilla FC, draw no bet 14%

Real Madrid +1.5 93%

Sevilla FC +1.5 53%

Real Madrid or draw, 2+ goals 77%

Sevilla FC or draw, 2+ goals 27%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.