Malaga
Real Sociedad
Solid pick
Real Sociedad score
On your slip: Away team scores
76%
sure
- 2.5goals expected in this match
- 43%chance Real Sociedad win
- 2.0goals a game these two score between them
Real Sociedad should find the net against a leaky Malaga defence: about 1.4 expected goals.
Who wins?
28%Malaga
28%Draw
43%Real Sociedad
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
1.1Malaga
expected goals
1.4Real Sociedad
Over 1.5 goals
73%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
Under 3.5 goals
75%
Under 4.5 goals
88%
Both teams score
52%
Home team scores
67%
Away team scores
76%
Home team over 1.5 goals
31%
Away team over 1.5 goals
42%
Safer ways to back a side
Malaga or draw
57%
Real Sociedad or draw
72%
Either team wins
72%
Malaga, draw no bet
39%
Real Sociedad, draw no bet
61%
Malaga +1.5
79%
Real Sociedad +1.5
88%
Malaga or draw, 2+ goals
40%
Real Sociedad or draw, 2+ goals
53%
The numbers behind it
| Malaga | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Scored per game | 1.5 |
| 1.6 | Conceded per game | 1.9 |
| 0.6 | Scored, last 5 | 1.6 |
| 8 | Games this season | 8 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.