FC Masters
All picks
La Liga, Spain
Malaga
Real Sociedad

Solid pick

Real Sociedad score

On your slip: Away team scores

Real Sociedad should find the net against a leaky Malaga defence: about 1.4 expected goals.

Who wins?

28%Malaga 28%Draw 43%Real Sociedad

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.1Malaga expected goals 1.4Real Sociedad
Over 1.5 goals 73%
Over 2.5 goals 47%
Over 3.5 goals 25%
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Under 3.5 goals 75%
Under 4.5 goals 88%
Both teams score 52%
Home team scores 67%
Away team scores 76%
Home team over 1.5 goals 31%
Away team over 1.5 goals 42%

Safer ways to back a side

Malaga or draw 57%
Real Sociedad or draw 72%
Either team wins 72%
Malaga, draw no bet 39%
Real Sociedad, draw no bet 61%
Malaga +1.5 79%
Real Sociedad +1.5 88%
Malaga or draw, 2+ goals 40%
Real Sociedad or draw, 2+ goals 53%

The numbers behind it

MalagaReal Sociedad
0.5Scored per game1.5
1.6Conceded per game1.9
0.6Scored, last 51.6
8Games this season8

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.