2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

83% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.4 goals in this match.

Who wins?

45%Bournemouth 25%Draw 29%Sunderland

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.9Bournemouth expected goals 1.5Sunderland

Over 1.5 goals 87%

Over 2.5 goals 67%

Over 3.5 goals 45%

Under 2.5 goals 33%

Under 3.5 goals 55%

Under 4.5 goals 74%

Both teams score 68%

Home team scores 85%

Away team scores 79%

Home team over 1.5 goals 57%

Away team over 1.5 goals 45%

Bournemouth or draw 71%

Sunderland or draw 55%

Either team wins 75%

Bournemouth, draw no bet 61%

Sunderland, draw no bet 39%

Bournemouth +1.5 85%

Sunderland +1.5 74%

Bournemouth or draw, 2+ goals 60%

Sunderland or draw, 2+ goals 46%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.