Brighton win or draw, plus 2+ goals

On your slip: Home or draw & over 1.5 goals

77% sure

Brighton are hard to beat at home and this match should have goals, about 3.1.

Who wins?

73%Brighton 18%Draw 10%Crystal Palace

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

2.5Brighton expected goals 0.6Crystal Palace

Over 1.5 goals 82%

Over 2.5 goals 59%

Over 3.5 goals 36%

Under 2.5 goals 41%

Under 3.5 goals 64%

Under 4.5 goals 81%

Both teams score 42%

Home team scores 91%

Away team scores 45%

Home team over 1.5 goals 70%

Away team over 1.5 goals 12%

Brighton or draw 90%

Crystal Palace or draw 27%

Either team wins 82%

Brighton, draw no bet 88%

Crystal Palace, draw no bet 12%

Brighton +1.5 93%

Crystal Palace +1.5 44%

Brighton or draw, 2+ goals 77%

Crystal Palace or draw, 2+ goals 15%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.