2 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 2.5 goals

76% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.3 goals.

Who wins?

43%Dalian Kewei 38%Draw 19%Guizhou Zhucheng

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.9Dalian Kewei expected goals 0.4Guizhou Zhucheng

Over 1.5 goals 37%

Over 2.5 goals 13%

Over 3.5 goals 4%

Under 2.5 goals 80%

Under 3.5 goals 90%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 19%

Home team scores 59%

Away team scores 31%

Home team over 1.5 goals 22%

Away team over 1.5 goals 5%

Dalian Kewei or draw 81%

Guizhou Zhucheng or draw 57%

Either team wins 62%

Dalian Kewei, draw no bet 69%

Guizhou Zhucheng, draw no bet 31%

Dalian Kewei +1.5 93%

Guizhou Zhucheng +1.5 83%

Dalian Kewei or draw, 2+ goals 33%

Guizhou Zhucheng or draw, 2+ goals 15%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.