3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

79% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.0 goals.

Who wins?

33%Gimpo Citizen 30%Draw 37%Paju Citizen

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.8Gimpo Citizen expected goals 1.2Paju Citizen

Over 1.5 goals 61%

Over 2.5 goals 33%

Over 3.5 goals 15%

Under 2.5 goals 67%

Under 3.5 goals 85%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 40%

Home team scores 54%

Away team scores 71%

Home team over 1.5 goals 18%

Away team over 1.5 goals 35%

Gimpo Citizen or draw 63%

Paju Citizen or draw 67%

Either team wins 70%

Gimpo Citizen, draw no bet 47%

Paju Citizen, draw no bet 53%

Gimpo Citizen +1.5 79%

Paju Citizen +1.5 92%

Gimpo Citizen or draw, 2+ goals 30%

Paju Citizen or draw, 2+ goals 48%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.