2 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 2.5 goals

76% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.6 goals.

Who wins?

47%Xi'an Ronghai 33%Draw 19%Shenzhen 2028

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.1Xi'an Ronghai expected goals 0.5Shenzhen 2028

Over 1.5 goals 47%

Over 2.5 goals 20%

Over 3.5 goals 7%

Under 2.5 goals 80%

Under 3.5 goals 90%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 26%

Home team scores 66%

Away team scores 38%

Home team over 1.5 goals 29%

Away team over 1.5 goals 8%

Xi'an Ronghai or draw 81%

Shenzhen 2028 or draw 53%

Either team wins 67%

Xi'an Ronghai, draw no bet 71%

Shenzhen 2028, draw no bet 29%

Xi'an Ronghai +1.5 93%

Shenzhen 2028 +1.5 79%

Xi'an Ronghai or draw, 2+ goals 41%

Shenzhen 2028 or draw, 2+ goals 19%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.