2 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 2.5 goals

76% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.3 goals.

Who wins?

37%Rizhao Yuqi 39%Draw 25%Guangzhou Dandelion

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.7Rizhao Yuqi expected goals 0.6Guangzhou Dandelion

Over 1.5 goals 37%

Over 2.5 goals 14%

Over 3.5 goals 4%

Under 2.5 goals 80%

Under 3.5 goals 90%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 23%

Home team scores 50%

Away team scores 44%

Home team over 1.5 goals 15%

Away team over 1.5 goals 12%

Rizhao Yuqi or draw 75%

Guangzhou Dandelion or draw 63%

Either team wins 61%

Rizhao Yuqi, draw no bet 60%

Guangzhou Dandelion, draw no bet 40%

Rizhao Yuqi +1.5 93%

Guangzhou Dandelion +1.5 91%

Rizhao Yuqi or draw, 2+ goals 27%

Guangzhou Dandelion or draw, 2+ goals 24%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.