FC Masters
All picks
Liga MX, Mexico
Cruz Azul
FC Juarez

Solid pick

Cruz Azul win or draw, plus 2+ goals

On your slip: Home or draw & over 1.5 goals

Cruz Azul are hard to beat at home and this match should have goals, about 3.7.

Who wins?

70%Cruz Azul 18%Draw 12%FC Juarez

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

2.6Cruz Azul expected goals 1.1FC Juarez
Over 1.5 goals 88%
Over 2.5 goals 72%
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Under 2.5 goals 28%
Under 3.5 goals 49%
Under 4.5 goals 68%
Both teams score 62%
Home team scores 93%
Away team scores 66%
Home team over 1.5 goals 74%
Away team over 1.5 goals 30%

Safer ways to back a side

Cruz Azul or draw 88%
FC Juarez or draw 30%
Either team wins 82%
Cruz Azul, draw no bet 85%
FC Juarez, draw no bet 15%
Cruz Azul +1.5 93%
FC Juarez +1.5 51%
Cruz Azul or draw, 2+ goals 78%
FC Juarez or draw, 2+ goals 25%

The numbers behind it

Cruz AzulFC Juarez
2.0Scored per game0.7
1.9Conceded per game2.4
1.2Scored, last 51.0
11Games this season11

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.