Guadalajara Chivas win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Home win, draw no bet

77% sure

Guadalajara Chivas are the likelier winners at home, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

56%Guadalajara Chivas 26%Draw 18%Tigres UANL

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.6Guadalajara Chivas expected goals 0.7Tigres UANL

Over 1.5 goals 69%

Over 2.5 goals 41%

Over 3.5 goals 21%

Under 2.5 goals 59%

Under 3.5 goals 79%

Under 4.5 goals 91%

Both teams score 42%

Home team scores 80%

Away team scores 51%

Home team over 1.5 goals 48%

Away team over 1.5 goals 16%

Guadalajara Chivas or draw 82%

Tigres UANL or draw 44%

Either team wins 74%

Guadalajara Chivas, draw no bet 76%

Tigres UANL, draw no bet 24%

Guadalajara Chivas +1.5 93%

Tigres UANL +1.5 67%

Guadalajara Chivas or draw, 2+ goals 60%

Tigres UANL or draw, 2+ goals 25%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.