2 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 2.5 goals

76% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.4 goals.

Who wins?

22%Santos Laguna 34%Draw 44%Querétaro

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.4Santos Laguna expected goals 1.0Querétaro

Over 1.5 goals 42%

Over 2.5 goals 17%

Over 3.5 goals 5%

Under 2.5 goals 80%

Under 3.5 goals 90%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 23%

Home team scores 34%

Away team scores 63%

Home team over 1.5 goals 7%

Away team over 1.5 goals 26%

Santos Laguna or draw 56%

Querétaro or draw 78%

Either team wins 66%

Santos Laguna, draw no bet 34%

Querétaro, draw no bet 66%

Santos Laguna +1.5 81%

Querétaro +1.5 92%

Santos Laguna or draw, 2+ goals 17%

Querétaro or draw, 2+ goals 37%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.