Atletico-MG win or draw, plus 2+ goals

On your slip: Home or draw & over 1.5 goals

79% sure

Atletico-MG are hard to beat at home and this match should have goals, about 3.6.

Who wins?

68%Atletico-MG 19%Draw 13%Coritiba

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

2.6Atletico-MG expected goals 1.0Coritiba

Over 1.5 goals 88%

Over 2.5 goals 70%

Over 3.5 goals 49%

Under 2.5 goals 30%

Under 3.5 goals 51%

Under 4.5 goals 70%

Both teams score 59%

Home team scores 93%

Away team scores 63%

Home team over 1.5 goals 74%

Away team over 1.5 goals 26%

Atletico-MG or draw 87%

Coritiba or draw 32%

Either team wins 81%

Atletico-MG, draw no bet 84%

Coritiba, draw no bet 16%

Atletico-MG +1.5 93%

Coritiba +1.5 48%

Atletico-MG or draw, 2+ goals 79%

Coritiba or draw, 2+ goals 23%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.