Botafogo win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Home win, draw no bet

84% sure

Botafogo are the likelier winners at home, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

66%Botafogo 20%Draw 13%Chapecoense

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

2.1Botafogo expected goals 0.9Chapecoense

Over 1.5 goals 81%

Over 2.5 goals 58%

Over 3.5 goals 35%

Under 2.5 goals 42%

Under 3.5 goals 65%

Under 4.5 goals 82%

Both teams score 53%

Home team scores 88%

Away team scores 60%

Home team over 1.5 goals 62%

Away team over 1.5 goals 23%

Botafogo or draw 87%

Chapecoense or draw 34%

Either team wins 80%

Botafogo, draw no bet 83%

Chapecoense, draw no bet 17%

Botafogo +1.5 93%

Chapecoense +1.5 59%

Botafogo or draw, 2+ goals 70%

Chapecoense or draw, 2+ goals 27%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.