2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

79% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.1 goals in this match.

Who wins?

37%Norwich City 26%Draw 37%Portsmouth FC

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.4Norwich City expected goals 1.7Portsmouth FC

Over 1.5 goals 82%

Over 2.5 goals 59%

Over 3.5 goals 37%

Under 2.5 goals 41%

Under 3.5 goals 63%

Under 4.5 goals 80%

Both teams score 62%

Home team scores 74%

Away team scores 82%

Home team over 1.5 goals 39%

Away team over 1.5 goals 51%

Norwich City or draw 63%

Portsmouth FC or draw 63%

Either team wins 74%

Norwich City, draw no bet 50%

Portsmouth FC, draw no bet 50%

Norwich City +1.5 76%

Portsmouth FC +1.5 87%

Norwich City or draw, 2+ goals 44%

Portsmouth FC or draw, 2+ goals 58%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.