3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

82% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.8 goals.

Who wins?

40%West Brom 32%Draw 28%Blackburn

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.0West Brom expected goals 0.9Blackburn

Over 1.5 goals 56%

Over 2.5 goals 28%

Over 3.5 goals 12%

Under 2.5 goals 72%

Under 3.5 goals 88%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 38%

Home team scores 62%

Away team scores 58%

Home team over 1.5 goals 25%

Away team over 1.5 goals 22%

West Brom or draw 72%

Blackburn or draw 60%

Either team wins 68%

West Brom, draw no bet 59%

Blackburn, draw no bet 41%

West Brom +1.5 89%

Blackburn +1.5 86%

West Brom or draw, 2+ goals 39%

Blackburn or draw, 2+ goals 35%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.