Wrexham win or draw

On your slip: Home or draw

75% sure

Wrexham are hard to beat at home; Preston are expected to manage only about 0.9 goals.

Who wins?

53%Wrexham 26%Draw 20%Preston

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.6Wrexham expected goals 0.9Preston

Over 1.5 goals 74%

Over 2.5 goals 47%

Over 3.5 goals 26%

Under 2.5 goals 53%

Under 3.5 goals 74%

Under 4.5 goals 88%

Both teams score 50%

Home team scores 80%

Away team scores 61%

Home team over 1.5 goals 48%

Away team over 1.5 goals 24%

Wrexham or draw 80%

Preston or draw 47%

Either team wins 74%

Wrexham, draw no bet 72%

Preston, draw no bet 28%

Wrexham +1.5 92%

Preston +1.5 72%

Wrexham or draw, 2+ goals 59%

Preston or draw, 2+ goals 33%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.