Millwall win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Home win, draw no bet

76% sure

Millwall are the likelier winners at home, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

55%Millwall 27%Draw 18%Lincoln

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.5Millwall expected goals 0.8Lincoln

Over 1.5 goals 67%

Over 2.5 goals 40%

Over 3.5 goals 19%

Under 2.5 goals 60%

Under 3.5 goals 81%

Under 4.5 goals 92%

Both teams score 43%

Home team scores 77%

Away team scores 55%

Home team over 1.5 goals 43%

Away team over 1.5 goals 19%

Millwall or draw 82%

Lincoln or draw 45%

Either team wins 73%

Millwall, draw no bet 75%

Lincoln, draw no bet 25%

Millwall +1.5 93%

Lincoln +1.5 73%

Millwall or draw, 2+ goals 56%

Lincoln or draw, 2+ goals 29%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.