2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

76% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.9 goals in this match.

Who wins?

34%Watford 28%Draw 38%Charlton

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.4Watford expected goals 1.5Charlton

Over 1.5 goals 79%

Over 2.5 goals 55%

Over 3.5 goals 32%

Under 2.5 goals 45%

Under 3.5 goals 68%

Under 4.5 goals 84%

Both teams score 59%

Home team scores 74%

Away team scores 78%

Home team over 1.5 goals 39%

Away team over 1.5 goals 45%

Watford or draw 62%

Charlton or draw 66%

Either team wins 72%

Watford, draw no bet 47%

Charlton, draw no bet 53%

Watford +1.5 79%

Charlton +1.5 85%

Watford or draw, 2+ goals 46%

Charlton or draw, 2+ goals 53%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.