2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

75% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.8 goals in this match.

Who wins?

47%Lille 26%Draw 27%Stade Brestois 29

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.6Lille expected goals 1.2Stade Brestois 29

Over 1.5 goals 78%

Over 2.5 goals 53%

Over 3.5 goals 31%

Under 2.5 goals 47%

Under 3.5 goals 69%

Under 4.5 goals 85%

Both teams score 57%

Home team scores 80%

Away team scores 70%

Home team over 1.5 goals 47%

Away team over 1.5 goals 34%

Lille or draw 73%

Stade Brestois 29 or draw 53%

Either team wins 74%

Lille, draw no bet 64%

Stade Brestois 29, draw no bet 36%

Lille +1.5 88%

Stade Brestois 29 +1.5 76%

Lille or draw, 2+ goals 56%

Stade Brestois 29 or draw, 2+ goals 42%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.