Ligue 1, France
Estac Troyes
Lens
Solid pick
Lens win (draw = money back)
On your slip: Away win, draw no bet
75%
sure
- 3.4goals expected in this match
- 59%chance Lens win
- 2.5goals a game these two score between them
Lens are the likelier winners, and a draw gives the stake back.
Who wins?
19%Estac Troyes
22%Draw
59%Lens
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
1.1Estac Troyes
expected goals
2.3Lens
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
34%
Under 3.5 goals
56%
Under 4.5 goals
75%
Both teams score
61%
Home team scores
67%
Away team scores
88%
Home team over 1.5 goals
31%
Away team over 1.5 goals
66%
Safer ways to back a side
Estac Troyes or draw
41%
Lens or draw
81%
Either team wins
78%
Estac Troyes, draw no bet
25%
Lens, draw no bet
75%
Estac Troyes +1.5
59%
Lens +1.5
92%
Estac Troyes or draw, 2+ goals
30%
Lens or draw, 2+ goals
72%
The numbers behind it
| Estac Troyes | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Scored per game | 1.8 |
| 2.2 | Conceded per game | 1.7 |
| 0.8 | Scored, last 5 | 1.4 |
| 6 | Games this season | 6 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.