Borussia Dortmund win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Away win, draw no bet

78% sure

Borussia Dortmund are the likelier winners, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

17%Union Berlin 21%Draw 62%Borussia Dortmund

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.0Union Berlin expected goals 2.2Borussia Dortmund

Over 1.5 goals 84%

Over 2.5 goals 63%

Over 3.5 goals 41%

Under 2.5 goals 37%

Under 3.5 goals 59%

Under 4.5 goals 77%

Both teams score 58%

Home team scores 65%

Away team scores 88%

Home team over 1.5 goals 28%

Away team over 1.5 goals 64%

Union Berlin or draw 38%

Borussia Dortmund or draw 83%

Either team wins 79%

Union Berlin, draw no bet 22%

Borussia Dortmund, draw no bet 78%

Union Berlin +1.5 60%

Borussia Dortmund +1.5 92%

Union Berlin or draw, 2+ goals 29%

Borussia Dortmund or draw, 2+ goals 71%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.