FC Masters
All picks
Serie A, Italy
Venezia
Napoli

Solid pick

Napoli win or draw, plus 2+ goals

On your slip: Away or draw & over 1.5 goals

Napoli should avoid defeat and this match should have goals, about 3.3.

Who wins?

15%Venezia 21%Draw 64%Napoli

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

0.9Venezia expected goals 2.4Napoli
Over 1.5 goals 86%
Over 2.5 goals 65%
Over 3.5 goals 43%
Under 2.5 goals 35%
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Under 4.5 goals 75%
Both teams score 56%
Home team scores 61%
Away team scores 88%
Home team over 1.5 goals 25%
Away team over 1.5 goals 69%

Safer ways to back a side

Venezia or draw 36%
Napoli or draw 85%
Either team wins 79%
Venezia, draw no bet 19%
Napoli, draw no bet 81%
Venezia +1.5 53%
Napoli +1.5 92%
Venezia or draw, 2+ goals 24%
Napoli or draw, 2+ goals 76%

The numbers behind it

VeneziaNapoli
0.8Scored per game1.7
2.7Conceded per game1.0
1.2Scored, last 51.2
6Games this season6

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.